Virtualisation? Thin clients? Secure data? Hard and software scalability? Big deal: mainframes have been doing it for 45 years, explains E&T.
When I contemplate mainframe futures, I’m always reminded of the man who, in 1991, famously announced that the last mainframe in the world would be unplugged in 1996. Thirteen years on from that prediction, and 45 years on from the advent of the IBM System/360 - generally agreed to be the first true mainframe platform - and the platform’s prospects are looking bright on range of technological fronts.
Mainframe futures can be divided to into five areas: hardware; software; training; ‘role’; and ‘attitude’. Underlying this whole view, of course, is the assumption that mainframes will be with us for a number of years yet.
In respect to mainframe hardware, there is a continual improvement in the speed or size of what’s available, while at the same time a reduction in the physical footprint and the greenhouse effect. The introduction of the specialty engines - IFL for Linux, zAAP for Java (WebSphere), and zIIP for DB2 - has encouraged take up of these specialty engines. We’ve also heard about the z11 processor, which is anticipated to be with us in September 2011; and in a back-to-the-future sort of way, at least some of the next generation of machines promise to be water-cooled.
There have been a huge number of enhancements in the area of mainframe software. CA, as part of its Web 2.0 strategy, enhanced most of its mainframe software line during 2009, and other players in this space are continuing to upgrade theirs. NEON Enterprise Software launched its zPrime software: zPrime works by automatically identifying IMS, DB2, CICS, TSO/ISPF, and batch workloads that can be processed on specialty processors, reducing processing costs and improving throughput for the primary CPU, the company claims. DataDirect has version 7.2.1 of its Shadow suite. This takes a similar ‘diversionary’ approach to handling Web integration services, SOA support, and data integration processing.
Making the mainframe easier to use has been something of a mantra during 2009, particularly in the light of an ageing population of IT practitioners with mainframe skills; many vendors, including IBM, are including ‘autonomics’ in their software. Autonomics means that the software will try to identify potential problems, and then fix them.
Another ‘usability’ strategy used by vendors is to make using the mainframe more like using a Microsoft Windows environment, which then makes it more easily accessible by less-experienced programmers. Attracting young programmers is becoming a priority for organisations using mainframes as well as the mainframe software vendors. Many people will now be familiar with the Eclipse ‘universal toolkit’ - and remember that it is estimated that more than 60 per cent of enterprise data is held on a mainframe of some kind, and much of that is being accessed using COBOL programs. So software is continually evolving and getting better.
Both IBM and CA are taking steps to ensure that training is available at universities for young IT professionals. IBM has its Academic Initiative, which was introduced in 2004. This runs at universities in the US, UK, and Europe. Similarly, following initiatives announced earlier this year, CA is working with universities, starting in the Czech Republic, to provide mainframes they can use for specific training modules. These and other initiatives will ensure a supply of qualified COBOL and Assembler programmers, thus remedying another concern about the future livelihood of the mainframe.
So what, in 2009, is the role of the mainframe? Any survey of current usage will confirm that the mainframe has any number of roles in most organisations. It is still satisfying roles it acquired 20 or 30 years ago, and it is also adopting new ones. For example service-oriented architecture (SOA) is growing in importance, allowing the mainframe to be a Web service consumer, as well as a Web service provider, to Internet-based users.
There is also much speculation about the role of mainframes in the emerging Cloud Computing market. More recently there has been a growth in the use of mainframes in Business Intelligence (BI) solutions - particularly with IBM’s $1.2bn acquisition last July of data mining and statistical analysis software specialist SPSS. IBM says that it intends to integrate SPSS within its Information Management software portfolio.
So, after 45 years, the mainframe’s profile in the IT landscape continues to change and to evolve, but one thing that hasn’t changed is its vital importance to the success of businesses that make use of it. A newer trend could be its recognition as a useful tool for organisations that traditionally relied on distributed computing platforms.
It is important that IBM (and everyone else who believes in the mainframe) helps convince the ‘Windows generation’ that there are other choices - some of which, like the mainframe, are arguably better alternatives. There’s a whole generation of IT professionals who have never worked with a mainframe, and who may think it outdated, outclassed, and unsuited for 2009’s IT environment; they may even include some of the same trendy technologists who rush out and buy Citrix to emulate some of the best characteristics of a mainframe; or those who virtualise their server farms thinking it is something new.
Not that the mainframe is the right environment for every enterprise; but many mid-sized organisations could be missing out on an opportunity because of the blinkered thinking of some of their IT strategists.
Despite this the mainframe still has a great future ahead of it. Long may it continue.
Trevor Eddolls is CEO of iTech-Ed
http://kn.theiet.org/magazine/issues/0920/weblinks.cfm
IBM z10
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=B97p8AyeHn8
Man & Computer (1965)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BUCZJWo9MZo
IBM System/360
System/360 promotional films
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGRCn0vwK3c
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QGCOeu44nm0&NR=1&feature=fvwp
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1OdRHImbPug&feature=PlayList&p=052268BD0EF212B6&index=0
IBM System 360 - Solid Logic Technology being manufactured
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7u6Ulc263UQ
Last June enterprise management firm CA warned that an acute dearth of mainframe computer skills among the UK workforce threatened to undermine the commercial effectiveness of ‘big iron’-based businesses. Since then, CA reports, financial services organisations have led the drive to address the shortfall.
The independent survey of five vertical markets (manufacturing, the public sector, retail distribution & transport, and technology) in six European countries indicates that 71 per cent of those surveyed in the financial sector acknowledge that the mainframe will start to be affected by the skills shortage. This compares with a 66 per cent average across the other surveyed sectors.
Some 60 per cent of financial services organisations already rely on the mainframe to administer their critical data, and 57 per cent of firms in this sector agree that a Web-enabled graphical user interface (GUI) would make the mainframe more attractive to less experienced IT staff - and this is reflected in a drive to recruit individuals with the potential to fill the skills gap, CA suggests. In addition, 42 per cent of financial sector organisations are addressing the mainframe training needs of their employees.
There is less action taking place to address the skills shortage in the other sectors polled. Only 9 per cent of public sector organisations, for instance, believe a Web GUI could help narrow this skills gap - and the picture is almost as low in other sectors: 23 per cent in retail, distribution, and transport, 37 per cent in technology, and 39 per cent in manufacturing sharing this view. The cross-sector average is 35 per cent. Equally, only 24 per cent of manufacturing respondents, 38 per cent of technology respondents, and 39 per cent of Public Sector respondents are looking at their skills and training needs.
IBM mainframes dominate the mainframe market with high majority market share, but Big Blue’s is not the only big iron in town. Unisys manufactures ClearPath mainframes (pictured left), based on earlier Sperry and Burroughs product lines; and Hitachi co-developed the zSeries z800 with IBM to share expenses, but the two companies have not collaborated on new Hitachi models. HP (Hewlett-Packard) has its NonStop systems, which it acquired with Tandem Computers, and which some designate as mainframes. Groupe Bull’s DPS, Fujitsu (formerly Siemens) BS2000, and Fujitsu-ICL VME mainframes are still available in Europe. Fujitsu, Hitachi, and NEC maintain some mainframe hardware businesses in the Japanese market.
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